Back to BlogPublished 2026-08-18

Poland Have Overtaken Czechia by One Tenth of a Point

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One tenth of a point. That is what separates Poland from Czechia in the UEFA country coefficient — 44.325 against 44.225. To put it in scale: a single group-stage win is worth two points. This gap is worth a twentieth of one win.

44.325Poland — 10th
44.225Czechia — 11th
0.1The entire gap
4 v 5Clubs still in Europe

Two Years Ago This Was Not Close

In 2023-24 Czechia scored 13.5 and Poland scored 6.875. That is a 6.625-point difference in a single season — the sort of margin that normally settles a rivalry for years. Czech clubs were going deep in Europe while Polish clubs were going out early.

Season by Season

  • 2022-23 · 🇵🇱 7.75 v 6.75 🇨🇿 · 🟢 PL +1
  • 2023-24 · 🇵🇱 6.875 v 13.5 🇨🇿 · 🔴 CZ +6.625
  • 2024-25 · 🇵🇱 11.75 v 10.55 🇨🇿 · 🟢 PL +1.2
  • 2025-26 · 🇵🇱 15.75 v 11.025 🇨🇿 · 🟢 PL +4.725
  • 2026-27 · 🇵🇱 2.2 v 2.4 🇨🇿 · 🔴 CZ +0.2

The turn came in 2024-25 and then hardened. Poland went 11.75 and 15.75 in consecutive seasons while Czechia managed 10.55 and 11.025. That two-season swing of 5.925 points is the entire story — it wiped out a deficit built over the two years before it.

Why It Is Not Safe

Because Czechia have more clubs left. Poland have 4 of 5 still alive in Europe; Czechia have all 5 of theirs. Every Czech win from here is worth the same as a Polish one, and they have one more team capable of earning it. A gap of 0.1 does not survive a single extra round.

Snapshot as of 18 August 2026, taken from this site's own coefficient database. Country coefficients are the five-year running totals for the 2022-23 to 2026-27 window; the 2026/27 column is still accumulating and will move with every match. Club counts are the associations' active entrants at the time of writing.

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